Oil prices took a slight dip on Monday as investors eagerly awaited the upcoming OPEC+ meeting set to determine supply cuts into 2024. Brent crude futures saw a decrease of 42 cents, landing at $80.16 per barrel by 0901 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures dropped by 49 cents, settling at $75.05 a barrel.
The previous week had seen a modest uptick in both contracts, marking their first weekly gain in five weeks. This increase was supported by the anticipation of Saudi Arabia and Russia’s potential extension of voluntary supply cuts into early 2024, and the looming discussions within OPEC+ regarding further output reduction plans.
However, amidst these expectations, prices experienced a midweek slump following the decision by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies, including Russia, to postpone a ministerial meeting to November 30. This deferral was aimed at resolving disparities on production targets, particularly for African producers.
Notably, there has been progress towards a resolution within the group, as conveyed by four OPEC+ sources familiar with the matter.
Insights from ING analysts suggest that market sentiment remains pessimistic due to the ongoing discord within OPEC+ concerning production quotas. Nonetheless, it is anticipated that Saudi Arabia will extend its additional voluntary cut of 1 million barrels per day into the coming year.
This development has prompted a cautious atmosphere within the oil market, with a sense of trepidation juxtaposed against the hopes for a unified agreement from the upcoming OPEC+ meeting.
Amidst the uncertainties, the oil market continues to navigate through an intricate web of negotiations and geopolitical influences, with the delicate balance of supply and demand hanging in the balance.
By Hauwa Abu