The Nigerian economy is projected to expand significantly, reaching $1.85 trillion by 2029 in Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) terms, according to recent data from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The Washington-based institution forecasted a steady increase in Nigeria’s GDP PPP from $1.36 trillion in 2023 to $1.852 trillion in 2029, reflecting a consistent growth trend.
The IMF data also anticipates Nigeria’s share of the global GDP, based on PPP, to increase slightly from 0.77 percent in 2023 to 0.78 percent by 2029. This steady growth trajectory indicates a positive outlook for the country’s economy.
Economists attribute this optimistic forecast to Nigeria’s efforts in diversifying its economy, investing in infrastructure, and promoting foreign investment. Despite facing significant challenges in recent years, such as a recession in 2020 triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic and a decline in oil prices, Nigeria has shown resilience and potential for growth.
Supporting this positive outlook, recent data from the National Bureau of Statistics revealed that Nigeria’s GDP grew by 2.98 percent in real terms in the first quarter of 2024 and by 3.46 percent in the fourth quarter of 2023.
However, despite this economic growth, Nigeria continues to grapple with soaring inflation, which reached 33.69 percent in April 2024. The inflation surge is largely attributed to the ripple effects of the fuel subsidy removal and the floating of the Naira in June of the previous year, which have impacted the prices of goods, services, and the purchasing power of Nigerians.
As Africa’s largest economy, Nigeria’s gradual but steady economic expansion over the next five years underscores the importance of its ongoing economic reforms and diversification efforts.