Nigeria farming disaster threatens food security

A major farming disaster has struck communities in Asa Local Government Area of Kwara State, Nigeria, after the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) issued an inaccurate weather forecast. The failed prediction threatens food security, rural livelihoods, and farmer confidence.

Kwara Must Change, a pro‑democracy and civic‑advocacy group, noted that NiMet’s 2025 Seasonal Climate Prediction projected rainfall in Asa from May 7 to November 18, giving farmers nearly 195 days of rain to grow their crops. In reality, the rainfall pattern was drastically different: early showers occurred in May, followed by an abrupt stop in June, no rain in July, and only two isolated events in August. Consistent rains did not resume until September, creating a three‑month drought during the peak growing season.

The unexpected rainfall pattern has destroyed crops across Asa, wiping out farmers’ investments in land preparation, seedlings, and fertilizers. Many describe the current season as “the worst in living memory.” The group, which monitors governance and social development in Kwara, warned that NiMet’s failure undermines the very farmers it is meant to support and called the forecasting error a disaster of national importance with far‑reaching consequences for the rural economy, where agriculture is vital.

Kwara Must Change has demanded an urgent explanation from both NiMet and the Federal Government, insisting that farmers deserve accountability and corrective measures to prevent a repeat of the crisis. It also urged the Kwara State Government to provide immediate relief packages for the affected farmers, warning that delayed support could lead to food shortages and worsening poverty.

The situation underscores the importance of accurate weather forecasting for agricultural planning and the need for effective support systems for farmers. As the crisis unfolds, relevant authorities must act promptly to address the concerns of affected farmers and prevent similar disasters in the future.