Global fossil fuel emissions are projected to reach a record high in 2025, according to a recent study. The research, published in the journal Earth System Science Data, indicates that emissions from fossil fuels will increase by 1.1% in 2025 compared to the previous year, despite the growing adoption of renewable energy technologies. The rise in emissions is largely driven by increasing energy demand, which is not being met by renewable energy sources quickly enough.

The study found that carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels, including oil, gas, and coal, are expected to reach 38.1 billion tonnes in 2025, a new record. This increase in emissions is particularly concerning, as it undermines efforts to limit global warming to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels, a goal outlined in the 2015 Paris Agreement. According to the research, the remaining carbon budget to achieve this goal is approximately 170 billion tonnes of CO2, which is equivalent to just four years of emissions at the current rate.

The failure to reduce emissions is a major concern, as the world is currently experiencing one of the hottest years on record. The lack of progress in cutting emissions is overshadowing the ongoing COP30 climate talks in Brazil, which are being held without the participation of the United States, the world’s second-largest polluter. Experts warn that collective action is needed to address the issue, with Glen Peters of the CICERO Center for International Climate Research stating that “everyone needs to do their bit, and all of them need to do more.”

While there are some positive signs, such as 35 countries reducing their emissions while growing their economies, the overall trend is still alarming. Emissions in China, the world’s largest polluter, are largely flat, but it is too early to declare that they have peaked. In contrast, emissions in the US and EU have increased, partly due to cooler winter months and higher gas prices.

The study highlights the need for urgent action to reduce emissions and transition to renewable energy sources. As the world continues to experience the devastating impacts of climate change, it is essential that governments and individuals take concrete steps to reduce their carbon footprint and work towards a more sustainable future. The COP30 climate talks provide an opportunity for nations to come together and commit to meaningful action, but it remains to be seen whether they will be able to make significant progress in addressing this critical issue.