China’s exports to Africa are projected to reach $200 billion in 2025, driven by ongoing trade tensions with the United States. According to Chinese customs data, the country exported $122 billion worth of goods to Africa in the first eight months of the year, with expectations that this figure will exceed $200 billion by year’s end.

In the same period, African countries sent $87 billion in exports to China, representing a 2.3% increase. However, this has resulted in a significant trade imbalance, with Africa’s trade deficit with China standing at nearly $60 billion. The main drivers of Africa’s imports from China are machinery, heavy equipment, automobiles, and metal products.

Bilateral trade between China and Africa has been steadily increasing, reaching a record $295.6 billion in 2024. This marked the fourth consecutive year of growth, underscoring the deepening economic ties between the two regions. In an effort to boost African exports, China has waived tariffs for 53 African countries with which it has diplomatic relations, effective this year.

The growing trade relationship between China and Africa is set against the backdrop of increasing global trade tensions. As China navigates its trade dispute with the United States, its economic engagement with Africa is likely to continue growing. With Africa’s rapidly expanding consumer market and abundant natural resources, the continent is an attractive destination for Chinese exporters.

The trade dynamics between China and Africa will be closely watched in the coming months, particularly as the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) begins to take shape. The AfCFTA aims to create a single, unified market for African countries, potentially altering the continent’s trade landscape and creating new opportunities for economic growth and development. As China seeks to deepen its economic ties with Africa, it is likely that the trade relationship between the two regions will remain a key focus of international attention.