Bashir El-Rufai, son of former Kaduna State governor Nasir El-Rufai, has delivered pointed analysis on Nigeria’s political landscape, asserting that Peter Obi’s significant support presents a major hurdle for former Vice President Atiku Abubakar’s next presidential bid.
Posting on the social media platform X recently, El-Rufai described Atiku as “a force to be reckoned with” heading into the crucial 2027 election. He suggested Atiku perceives favorable conditions, potentially aligning with the proverbial “moment meets the man.” However, El-Rufai emphasized a critical counterpoint: “the sheer force of Obi’s numbers and cult-like followership brings a challenge.” He specifically highlighted Obi’s profound appeal to Nigeria’s youth demographic as a key element of the newer politician’s leverage.
El-Rufai further contextualized Atiku’s presidential trajectory. He contended that the 2019 election likely represented the pinnacle of Atiku’s previous opportunities. While acknowledging Atiku’s enduring power in the 2027 contest, El-Rufai framed Obi’s rapidly mobilized base as a significant disruptive force within the political arena.
In a vivid illustration of Obi’s perceived electoral strength, El-Rufai stated: “Obi as a flag bearer with a strong Northern candidate would defeat Pablo on Election Day before our dear mother of the Nation, Aunty Remi finishes his breakfast around 12 noon.” This colorful metaphor underscores El-Rufai’s conviction in Obi’s ability to secure swift and decisive victories under certain coalition scenarios.
The commentary comes as Nigeria gears up for its next presidential cycle in 2027, with Atiku Abubakar a perennial contender and Peter Obi having emerged as a formidable political force with substantial, particularly youthful, support following the 2023 election. El-Rufai’s assessment highlights the evolving dynamics and potent challenges within the nation’s competitive political sphere.
