Derby County will host Southampton at Pride Park Stadium in the EFL Championship on Saturday. The hosts have endured a difficult start to the season, managing only one win in their first eight games, while the visitors have secured two victories. Derby’s recent form has been particularly poor, as they have failed to win any of their last three league matches. Their most recent outing ended in a 1‑1 draw with Charlton Athletic, with Matthew Clarke netting the equaliser in the 79th minute.
Southampton, by contrast, returned to winning ways in their previous game, beating Sheffield United 2‑1 away. Ross Stewart’s second‑half brace proved decisive in the comeback victory. Historically, Derby County hold the advantage in head‑to‑head meetings, with 28 wins in 72 encounters, compared with 20 wins for the Saints and 24 draws. Their last clash was in the 2019 FA Cup, which concluded with Derby winning a penalty shoot‑out after two 2‑2 draws.
Both sides have struggled to score this season, each having found the net only ten times in eight league games. Southampton have recorded four wins in all competitions, three of which came away from home, whereas Derby remain winless at home across all competitions. Derby will be missing several key players—Corey Blackett‑Taylor, Curtis Nelson, Rhian Brewster and Liam Thompson—while Dion Sanderson’s availability will be decided after a late fitness test. Southampton’s only confirmed absentee is Welington, and manager Will Still is expected to make changes to his starting XI.
Given Southampton’s strong away record in this fixture—unbeaten in their last six visits and scoring at least two goals in four of those games—they are likely to secure a narrow victory. The predicted scoreline is Derby County 1–2 Southampton. Betting tips suggest a Southampton win, over 2.5 goals in the match, both teams to score, and at least one goal in the second half.
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