Nigeria recorded a notable month‑on‑month increase in oil production, according to the latest OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report. In November 2025 the country produced 1.436 million barrels per day, up from 1.401 million barrels per day in October—a gain of 35,000 barrels per day, the largest rise in recent months. Despite this improvement, production remains below Nigeria’s allocated quota of 1.5 million barrels per day.
The rise can be attributed to gradual enhancements in upstream security and project optimisation at major producing terminals. However, Nigeria has missed its assigned quota for the fourth consecutive month, the last time it met the target being July 2025. Production had fallen sharply in August and September because of maintenance downtime and industrial action, but it showed a modest recovery in October and November.
Minister of State for Petroleum Resources Heineken Lokpobiri recently said Nigeria will push for a higher oil‑production quota, arguing that the current 1.5 million‑barrel limit no longer reflects the country’s true capacity. He indicated that Nigeria will make a strong case for an upward revision to at least two million barrels per day.
In the broader OPEC context, overall crude production was largely flat in November, rising by just 39,000 barrels per day to an estimated 25.17 million barrels per day. Saudi Arabia, the group’s largest producer, posted the biggest absolute increase, adding 48,000 barrels per day to reach 10.05 million barrels per day. Other notable changes included increases in Libya, Kuwait and the UAE, while Iraq recorded a significant drop in output.
Nigeria’s production growth is a positive development, yet the country still faces challenges in meeting its quota. As the global energy landscape evolves, Nigeria’s efforts to restore output and potentially revise its production quota will be closely watched, with implications for its economy and the global oil market in the months ahead.
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